Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 96.329749 109.602518 124.717265 143.349864 165.903811 192.584444 2.269323e+02
2025-04-27 81.534400 99.509141 122.069914 153.078958 195.602867 253.472647 3.411837e+02
2025-05-04 69.689476 88.805039 114.311985 151.971816 208.268657 293.156056 4.394262e+02
2025-05-11 62.317437 82.132336 109.887050 153.337708 223.228133 338.666901 5.631595e+02
2025-05-18 55.877126 75.579304 104.239844 151.260014 231.601763 375.088233 6.864313e+02
2025-05-25 51.693310 71.604669 101.603807 153.055148 246.299776 426.511218 8.659589e+02
2025-06-01 47.690579 67.358997 97.863274 152.174776 255.736755 470.519310 1.055162e+03
2025-06-08 44.042616 63.232275 93.733263 149.816029 261.648619 508.916706 1.256436e+03
2025-06-15 42.200248 61.730530 93.663119 154.635760 282.914907 589.936540 1.654761e+03
2025-06-22 38.622686 57.081950 87.740243 147.534778 277.260657 602.599310 1.831426e+03
2025-06-29 36.458515 54.574964 85.257070 146.718496 285.408473 655.212170 2.225683e+03
2025-07-06 34.585441 52.393416 83.113155 146.239027 294.229582 713.732361 2.729838e+03
2025-07-13 33.536227 51.705912 83.916958 152.698125 323.710014 858.188068 4.037159e+03
2025-07-20 32.975153 51.843141 86.330120 163.270323 368.248273 1090.926975 6.866320e+03
2025-07-27 31.129261 49.506467 83.710652 162.062952 379.910616 1210.207838 9.432942e+03
2025-08-03 29.757327 47.907516 82.351978 163.551733 400.260993 1387.117312 1.426071e+04
2025-08-10 28.154707 45.747951 79.631244 161.287241 408.308971 1515.936857 2.009545e+04
2025-08-17 27.088986 44.510113 78.667947 163.243715 431.241338 1752.211420 3.397953e+04
2025-08-24 25.862886 42.871043 76.695798 162.284134 443.965148 1948.709096 5.531491e+04
2025-08-31 24.609496 41.090879 74.256094 159.713970 450.178103 2115.678288 8.903795e+04
2025-09-07 24.063167 40.650519 74.669538 164.966948 488.800852 2588.922135 2.626439e+05
2025-09-14 22.597155 38.293524 70.650218 157.229374 472.354044 2589.116089 3.610970e+05
2025-09-21 21.728734 37.081607 69.096954 156.340603 484.833081 2881.738434 1.034426e+06